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What cars will we be driving in 2015?

Author Message
Written on: 02. 11. 07 [22:43]
ecoadmin
Administrator
Topic creator
registered since: 20.07.2007
Posts: 368
This is my very personal guess in which direction the car industry will develop...what car will we be driving in 2015?

At the moment it looks like the hybrid car manufacturers will lead the way to what we drive in the next ten years. While most japanese car manufacturers are working on the PHEV technology, many european car makers are dumping big amounts of money into fuel cell development. The fuel cell (hydrogen) car will probably be for another few decades remain a dream...In the mean time the battery technology is rapidly improving and plugin hybrids are likely to be seen on our roads within the next five years. In the mean time current Prius and Insight drivers (and all the others) can get used to have a battery on board. Once its quite common to drive temporarily electric, its time to go a bit further for the big car makers and the Plug-Ins will become reality. By now its trendy to have such a car and to 'plug it in' and big supermarket chains will introduce charging stations nationwide. This will also increase the sale of EV's, as the network of charging stations is rapidly growing. Its the breakthrough for electric car driving.

How do you see the future of car driving? What will we be refueling our cars with in 2015?



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Written on: 12. 07. 08 [01:30]
jstack6
registered since: 27.10.2007
Posts: 30
I hope a very diverse group of light weight efficient vehicles.
Also many bicycles , just like Errope we will discover they are the most efficient , help your health and are fun.

hybirds should become the standard since you can combine many efficient fuels and designs that are very flexible.

Also by 2015 many vehicles will be used to store and sell power, off peak and on peak helping store excess and sell when it's tight. No more blackouts or brown outs. You r vehicle will earn momey while it's parked. icon_biggrin.gif
Written on: 17. 07. 08 [12:47]
Franko30
Moderator
registered since: 08.09.2007
Posts: 62
Hi,

ecoadmin wrote:
and big supermarket chains will introduce charging stations nationwide.


Actually, a lot of Canadian supermarkets and shops already have the needed infastructure (power outlets outside in the parking area): It is needed to plug in heaters for the oil of "normal" cars on cold winter days... The electricity for this is provided for free.

This information was brought to me by two Canadian friends from Alberta.

Cheers

Franko30


TW 808 / 20 AH LiIon-Akkus seit 03/2008 / Höchste Reichweite bisher: 140 km. Verbrauch 6,3 kWh/100 km (372 US-miles per Gallon)
Written on: 17. 07. 08 [12:51]
Franko30
Moderator
registered since: 08.09.2007
Posts: 62
Hi,

jstack6 wrote:

Also by 2015 many vehicles will be used to store and sell power, off peak and on peak helping store excess and sell when it's tight. No more blackouts or brown outs. You r vehicle will earn momey while it's parked. icon_biggrin.gif


That is something the big power companies will fight like crazy, especially in Germany!

The reason? A system like this would generate a truly decentralised market for electricity. Thus, big coal or nuclear power stations (owned by the big power companies) couldn't sell their energy anymore - they can't react to sudden changes in demand or production of energy.

Cheers

Franko30


TW 808 / 20 AH LiIon-Akkus seit 03/2008 / Höchste Reichweite bisher: 140 km. Verbrauch 6,3 kWh/100 km (372 US-miles per Gallon)
Written on: 17. 07. 08 [21:38]
Lensman
registered since: 31.05.2008
Posts: 77
I also think the market will move towards plug-in hybrids in the near future, and then eventually transition to all-electric, powered perhaps by some sort of advanced capacitor system like the EEstor ultracapacitor, or MIT's nanotube ultracapacitor:

http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2006/batteries-0208.html

The MIT system is only at the laboratory prototype stage, however, so that could be many years from mass production, and it may not turn out to be cost-competitive. However, one thing is certain: There are a *lot* of companies trying very hard to make significant improvements on batteries or other electricity storage systems. I think eventually someone will succeed in making something that can be mass-produced at a price which will make an all-electric car competitive with gassers.

2015 is only 7 years away. I think most people will still be driving gassers. Even if the EEstor system proves exactly as advertised and they started selling them tomorrow, the manufacturing capacity to produce electric cars just isn't there. It will take many years for the auto manufacturers to switch over to producing primarily electric cars. And unless the technology and nationwide infrastructure for fast-charging stations is developed, to provide the electric equivalent of gas stations, plug-in hybrids will continue to be the choice of many or most car buyers who own only one car.

But the electricity has to come from somewhere. Cars being able to store or even generate electricity won't be a crippling blow to electricity utilities, because there will be that much more demand for electricity. A full-sized, highway-capable electric car will use *more* electric power while running than does a typical household, over the same period of time. What will, hopefully, put some of the coal-fired power plants out of business is cheap solar cells that everyone will put on their roofs. That should be sufficient for suburban or "detached house" use. But high-rise buildings and industry will generally need more power than is available from plating their roofs with solar cells.

So I think nuclear power plants are going to be the best option for new power plants for some time to come.

[This article was edited 1 times, at last 17.07.2008 at 21:41.]
Written on: 21. 07. 08 [11:36]
Yardonn
registered since: 22.08.2007
Posts: 13
I agree with Lensmen in the point of gasoline-Cars:
most people will (though loudly complaining about prices) still drive these cars.
Even I will proboably still have a "regular" car, because I sometimes need the transport- capacity (regarding People an payload...).
Of course i use (even today...) for almost any possible way my Alleweder...
But of course a lot of people will not have a individual vehicle (as not so less people even today in more urban areas).
I belive there will be much more decrease in "gasoline" traffic than rise in "green" trafic.
I think, it will take much longer than 7 years, to get "green" transportation to affortable prices.

Alleweder A4
http://www.leichtfahrzeuge.de
allmost full weather protection for one person at 1 - 1.5 kWh / 100 km



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